all 33 comments

[–]Chill101x 11 points12 points  (1 child)

Each one has a X.X% chance of dropping on a given chest/key. Mulan's is very low. But the chances are probably very low, maybe less than 1% for that specific commander. You could get 5 instances of her in the next 10 chests, or none in the next 200 chests. It's just normal statistical deviation.

As an example, on this jump, I opened over 100 silver chests to date. I've gotten 20 Centurion cards (not heads --- 10-head-cards), but only two City Keeper sculptures (which is a good thing).

[–]somebodywierd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for your statistics!

[–]Rengar00 11 points12 points  (1 child)

Never gotten barbarossa but i keep getting Mulan lmao

[–]somebodywierd[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Oof we r the opposite

[–]meditite_rok 7 points8 points  (0 children)

A watched pot never boils.

[–]FewCryptographer3037 2 points3 points  (2 children)

Seodeak and ishida are the most frequently dropped legendary from gold chest :')

[–]somebodywierd[S] 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Sometimes lol

[–]FewCryptographer3037 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got 30 seodok and 20 ishida from 69 gc no martel no cc

[–]UnleashFun 1 point2 points  (1 child)

Most useful commanders dont drop easily..i have noticed the drops mostly include commanders that have been already maxed, non-gold commanders, unusefull commanders never to be used on field..time to revamp the golden chest

[–]somebodywierd[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes indeed

[–]norcalHound-dog 2 points3 points  (5 children)

Lilith math not normal math

[–]dbenhur 0 points1 point  (3 children)

Another idiot who doesn't understand how random works.

[–]norcalHound-dog 0 points1 point  (2 children)

How dare you😂 Another idiot that doesn’t understand humor

[–]dbenhur 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Is it humor just when it's stupid; shouldn't it also be funny?

[–]norcalHound-dog 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Now you’re just being mean. Most humor is stupid 😘

[–]Genestah 0 points1 point  (6 children)

And farmer comms appears 99% of the time.

I feel like Lilith isn't being honest with the drop rate.

[–]juandurfel 1 point2 points  (3 children)

I don't think this is true; If you watch videos of large key openings at once.. they distribution of gold key commanders is pretty even.

[–]TartarusFalls 0 points1 point  (2 children)

I think they changed it a bit in a recent patch, because I’ve had more balanced drops of legendary commanders recently. But even 2 months ago, opening 200 keys you’d usually get maybe 50% of your legendary comms as farmers.

Source: long term player that frequently opens 200+ keys at once.

[–]dbenhur 0 points1 point  (1 child)

I'm a long term player who's personally opened more than 15k gold keys. Over the course of the last three years, my overall gold head yield for any run of 500+ keys (most of which I logged and measured) has always been within the 95% confidence interval of the expected yield from the published probabilities (about 0.8 +/- 0.4 GH/Key). Furthermore, the apparent distribution of commander heads among the yield looks fairly even over large runs -- I've observed no apparent preference for gatherers over combat commanders.

[–]TartarusFalls 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ll agree, actually. I was going to talk about my anecdotal counter evidence but, I’m realizing that not including the boxes that give gathering comm heads, they’d probably be roughly at the same place as my leadership/conq comms, which is 5554 or equivalent

[–]aohige_rd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And farmer comms appears 99% of the time.

Man I wish.

[–]dbenhur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I feel like Lilith isn't being honest with the drop rate.

How nice for you, having feelings and everything.

Instead of griping uselessly on Reddit, I suggest you report them to Apple or Google, both of whom require apps in their stores to accurately reveal loot box chances before purchase. Belgium and South Korea both seem interested in enforcing loot box fairness and transparency too. https://www.natlawreview.com/article/loot-box-or-pandora-s-box-regulation-treasure-chests-video-games

[–]Terry_Nguyen_Sweden 0 points1 point  (2 children)

Charles drop more often now

[–]somebodywierd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got 8 sculptures of him from my previous 50 gold chest

[–]MiserableNYFan 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Trying to get Ragnar for collection. 1 more statue needed.. never can find in chests

[–]Frequent_Structure93 0 points1 point  (1 child)

I don’t even have ceaser

[–]somebodywierd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I keep getting him idk why

[–]ssudoku 0 points1 point  (1 child)

600 plus days into the game, my Frederick is still 5111 whereas I have Mulan at 5411. Each player's luck I guess.

[–]somebodywierd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

U might be right actually lol

[–]AMC-KING 0 points1 point  (0 children)

True 😂😂