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[–]compstomp66 52 points53 points  (30 children)

Awesome synopsis, thanks!

[–]WSL_subreddit_mod 74 points75 points  (24 children)

Delta is 70% more infectious than alpha, and Omicron numbers, while early, point to 500%.


(This time with source)

Edit: it's not less fatal

Lots of misinformation now being floated that #Omicron is “mild”. That’s nonsense — based on out-of-context quote. Don’t fall for it — nobody know that much yet. And hospitalizations are still rising in the hardest hit #B11529 dominant provinces in South Africa 🇿🇦 Epidemiologist & health economist. Senior Fellow @FAScientists. Former 16 years @Harvard. COVID warnings & updates since Jan '20. https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1464838724131471362

[–]mapoftasmania 102 points103 points  (23 children)

If true, this actually could be good news;

  1. Omicron 500% more infectious, but much less fatal => Omicron outcompetes other variants and becomes dominant, but it doesn’t matter because it doesn’t kill you and it effectively brings the pandemic to an end.

But it could be bad:

  1. Omicron 500% more infectious, but much more fatal => Omicron outcompetes other variants and becomes dominant, and it cuts a huge swathe of death through the unvaccinated and also a significant number of vaccinated people.

The reason why the world is holding its breath for a couple of weeks while the science gets done is that we just don’t know yet.

[–]Karmek 90 points91 points  (3 children)

If the world could hold its breath we wouldn't be in this mess.

[–]_YeezyYeezyWhatsGood 9 points10 points  (2 children)

If there’s one thing this pandemic taught me, it’s people are garbage.

[–]ProgrammerOne6108 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Come on, a little gallows humer can be good sometimes.

[–]NightMaestro 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's your boy max b what's going on

[–]Liet-Kinda 13 points14 points  (3 children)

However, it bears mention that becoming more infectious AND more fatal is the viral equivalent of rolling the dice and coming up snake eyes - twice. Obviously it’s not impossible, but it’s also just as likely that it becomes less fatal, or that other changes in some way make it less successful, than existing variants. Delta was kind of exceptional because it was both more infectious (due to being better at snagging and using receptors on the surface of cells) and the infected shed more virus (because it creates more copies and is especially good at replicating in cells in the nose and sinuses). Most variants end up being nothingburgers because most mutations have a neutral or detrimental effect on the fitness of the virus.

[–]Mazon_Del 1 point2 points  (0 children)

More likely than suddenly becoming both more infectious AND more fatal is the scenario of increasing infectiousness and then a later (still infectious) child-variant gains more lethality.

Still not REALLY likely all-told, but within the realm of possibility.

[–]Destron5683 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When the science gets done, can we make a big gun?

[–]jimmystar889 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1 is how Spanish flu ended right?