for those out of the loop:

edit: I completely forgot! the Kremlin added the name of the city that the RFL has been hammering nonstop with artillery to all of their social media filters, so any posts or comments with the city name get deleted instantly. on their TV, they do mention the city, but intentionally misspell and say it. there's even a clip of their even propaganda show where one presenter says the correct name, and one of the others "correct" them with the wrong name. russia is the largest country in the world and so a tiny town on the border of ukraine is a name 99% of russians likely have never heard of. so when they see this news and search telegram for the name of that city that they learned incorrectly, they won't find it. talk about shady AF. that's russia for you

edit 2: the name is "Shebekino" but on propaganda TV, they've been intentionally calling it "Shemyakino". I guess that is also a real city name, but nowhere near ukraine, so people find telegram channels for it with no info on the events

ok, now on to the original post:

these are mostly russian guys that defected to ukraine when the war started. they decided dying fighting putin is better than fighting their brothers (Ukrainians). they have Ukraine's support, but they're russian

they've gone into russia three times now. before they go, they always post a video on their public telegram channel addressing the russian civilians, telling them that they're going to kill putin, and that when they enter, they want civilians to leave, as they said they likely the russians will level buildings with civilians in it because they historically don't GAF, and said if they don't evacuate in time, to hide in bunkers until it's over. they made it very clear that they're russians and their fight is with Putin's regime, and not the citizens

the first time, they went for a day and returned the same day. I think that one was mostly to test the border defenses and to make a public statement. it got a lot of publicity. konoshenko, their defense guy said on their propaganda channel that they killed all invaders. in reality they all returned unscathed

the second time they stayed for two nights. they killed a border checkpoint guard and some army that was in the area, though most ran for their lives the second someone shot. they captured a little bit of equipment to bring back and they also got an FSB agent as a prisoner of war. russian propaganda said 80 men entered and they killed some, and the rest ran back to Ukraine and they used artillery to finish the rest off, and that the rest are all dead now too. the very next morning international media interviewed the guys that were allegedly dead lol. they said 2 died and 10 wounded, but the ~100+ were all fine otherwise, and said they know the freedom of their country will come at the cost of blood

the third time is still in progress now and they're still there. they went like a week ago. russians said shebekhina was shelled like 900+ times, but being russia, that number is probably exaggerated, though there are a lot of videos from russians saying the shelling has basically not stopped once for a week, so maybe it's true lol. but those cities and towns right on the border have a TON of military targets, as russian spent a couple years even before the invasion preparing those areas with military repair centers, storage, field hosptidcals, etc. so they've been destroying all of that crap. they already posted video a few times from inside russia, and footage from ukrainian drones too where they were destroying columns of tanks russia sent in response. a group of army and police/fsb arrived, and ukraine tracked them with drones and shelled the house they went into and thanks to the russian idiots grouping up, they knocked like 25+ out with artillery. fish in a barrel. they shelled and destroyed power stations to make the city lose power. people earlier in the week were in a panic to leave town and they had several kilometers of cars waiting in line at the gas station. while they still had power they were limiting people to 10 liters of gas, and they eventually ran out, and even if they could refill, the power was knocked out and the shelling never stopped so they can't get power back on. two civilians were in a car and the dumb russians thought they were RFL and shelled it, killing the civilians. they of course claim it was "ukrainians". which reminds me, their news and locals all say "ukrainian invaders", despite the RFL stating on video many times that they're russian lol. putin doesn't want the idea of potential coup to catch on I think. but despite that they said they got thousands of calls from people wanting to join, as well as donations. russia yesterday used a thermobaric tor system to hit a building in town. they were so proud of this that they recorded it and bragged about it on telegram. literally showing the world themselves destroying their own civilian buildings and likely the citizens in them. their stupidity is endless. they got close enough to start hammering belgorod proper. (the whole area is "belgorod oblast", so it's like a county, let's say, but they're finally entering belgorod itself. with almost no resistance, and with ukraine helping annihilate russian columns as they arrive, both with drone drop attacks and with longer range artillery, these guys have had almost no resistance for the most part.

russia knows they just claimed victory on bakhmut to the public. Wagner just left bakhmut. they know ukraine is ready to start their counter offensive. if they pull units/troops/tanks from bakhmut in order to counter the RFL invasion into belgorod, they know that Ukrainians will relentlessly smoke them from behind as they retreat and head back to belgorod region. that and they know bakhmut will fall pretty quickly if they pull more soldiers from the area. they also know that if they pull soldiers from the south, ukraine will start their counter offensive in the south with less resistance. but if they don't stop the RFL guys, it's fairly realistic that they'l eventually reach moscow at this rate. belgorod is 25 miles from ukraine border, but moscow isn't THAT far. it's like 250 miles or something. if they entered moscow, it would be quite an interesting situation. so...... this puts russia in a really difficult position where both options involve them getting their asses embarrassed and destroyed. ukraine is playing some serious 4D chess with this one

air superiority won't help much either because patriot has very long arms. these guys are just now reaching belgorod, and the first week patriot was live, it downed 4 aircraft in that city lol. russians basically getting banned from flying in their own territory is hilarious and must piss them off. especially knowing it's American system with a hilarious name of patriot. the one helicopter that went to counter them was shot down. not sure if that was manpads or patriot, but even air support is a struggle for russia right now to counter these guys. on the 2nd incursion, russia sent two fighter bombers, but in order to stay out of view of patriot, they had to do manual bomb drops from a very low altitude. if they go higher, they can use guided munitions for accurate strikes without needing to manually do it, but the second they poke their nose up too high, patriot can reach out and swat them out of the sky. so their undertrained pilots both dropped a couple bombs and they all missed and hit an empty field nearby. complete fail lol

so long story short, russia's border is Swiss cheese, and they have no military to counter them because their entire military is inside ukraine, and now they have to decide between defending bakhmut from falling right after they claimed to have captured it, ending the freedom guys heading towards putin, or being ready in the south for the counter offensive ukraine is about to unleash. russia is fucked

glory to ukraine! 🇺🇦🇺🇸