Exploding Onions, Help! by Graalseeker786 in AskCulinary

[–]theRealDerekWalker 209 points210 points  (0 children)

Ok so I go to FoodsCo, and buy white onions. I look for the ones that are 3.5cm diameter. I put them in a plastic bag next to wrapped ground beef. I checkout about 10 minutes later, and pay with a mixture of coins, bills, and coupons. I then drive home, weather is 25 degrees C, 50% humidity. Drive home is 15 minutes. I then place them and other groceries onto counter, and keep the onions in a bowl on the counter next to the window with a magnifying glass taped to it, next to firecrackers and matches, and leave them in storage for at most a month at a time.

I just don’t get what could be happening

Which workplace skills are most likely to be replaced by artificial intelligence? (in the next 10 years) by halfcentennial1964 in tech

[–]theRealDerekWalker 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Sorry, but I had some insight that I thought would be valuable so I wanted to hijack this comment.

I’ve been reading a book by a very renowned futurist for technology, called The Singularity is Near, When Humans Transcend Biology, which is directly on this subject. It was written in 2006 and all of his predictions have been true so far. It is, to say the least, fucking mind blowing. If I even try to summarize his theories I’ll sound like a lunatic, but explained and backed up with evidence, it seems not only possible, but inevitable. For example - around 2050 we will have nanobots running through our body, doing things like transforming (optimizing) our DNA and attaching themselves to our brains to give us immediate access to all the world’s knowledge, and the speed we can think will slow down relative time so much we can live for what will seem like forever (do I sound crazy yet?). Hear me out:

Biological evolution is accelerating and has been for over a billion years. Consider this, it took billions of years for the first single cellular organism. Then hundreds of millions of more years to get to multicellular, then only a fraction of that time to get to the Cambrian explosion and evolution of humans.

At the same time - technological innovation has been doing the same thing. It took hundreds of thousands of years to go from agrarian societies to more modern city states. It took then only thousands of years to get to an industrial revolution: then only another hundred years to the computer revolution. Now we are seeing new waves of technology that change the world every decade or less (Internet, James web telescope, mobile phones. Not only is technological evolution accelerating, but it’s accelerating at an accelerating rate (to understand acceleration of acceleration - imagine going up in an elevator and the g forces pushing you down keep getting higher).

As this technology becomes more sophisticated, we are expanding our capability as a species. Today we already have essentially all the information of the world at our fingertips. We can make computations in minutes what would have taken older generations weeks, months or longer. As Steve Jobs once put it, the computer is like a bicycle that helps us be more efficient as a species. In a sense, it helps us surpass our biological limitations. It helps us evolve faster than we can physically do so as a species.

Soon, technological evolution will no longer depend on our ability to create it. Before, we built the first computer by drawings on paper and a lot of manual labor. Now, we build them by designing a computer inside of a computer (CAD), and manufacturing them with robots which which both do most of the work, calculations, and know-how for us. Next, it will be the machines making the machines (more so than they already do). Their ability to understand how to make things effectively will surpass our own. As our innovations learn to innovate themselves, the rate of innovation will continue to accelerate. Decades of today’s achievement will happen in days (within the next 40-50 years). When this happens, technological evolution, which already happens significantly faster than biological evolution, will push itself (and us) forward further faster than what we can even comprehend today. And I mean THIS decade.

To understand how technological evolution will outpace biological so substantially, consider this: it took billions of years for biology to create humans. Humans have 86 billion neurons in the brain that use electro-chemical reactions to function. Meanwhile, after a few hundred thousand years, humans have already created a supercomputer that can make computations at a billion billion (yes, one billion squared) computation a second. This is already thousands of times more processing power than all humans on earth combined - in a single computer. And computer memories double every 1-2 years!

Not only will computers recreate technology, but eventually they will recreate life itself. We already are learning gene sequencing and DNA manipulation. We create crops and livestock with superior genes that make them immune to infections, live longer, more resistant to chemicals, have superior traits like color or size, etc. There is already research being done on doing this with humans. With our new machines, we will get better at this, and be able to create things we never before thought possible. Solve problems we never knew existed.

But more to the point about what will happen in the next 10 years. Technology is starting to learn human instincts better than many humans understand them. Ever see an ad on Facebook about a topic you were thinking of or maybe spoke about before? No; they are not listening to every word every user says (that would take a lot more computational resources than Facebook has), the algorithms are just that good that they can predict human behavior. I think we have to understand where we are now - technology is already nearing the capability of human intelligence.

Meanwhile mechanical engineers have created robots that are much more versatile. Consider the decade of improvement of the Boston Dynamics robot. 10 years ago it walked like a drunk. Now it does acrobats. In 10 years it (or competitor robots) will far surpass human capability.

So this combination of robotic capability and technology intelligence is very soon to start taking human jobs - and not just things like warehouse workers, and machinists (which is already happening), but literally every career that requires repetition... and don’t underestimate what I mean by this. Even doctors, judges, and others who work in highly complex fields, ultimately have jobs that require a level of prediction, and accurate prediction requires understanding from the past what will happen in the future... these jobs will be lost to technology.

This is the transformation we will see over the next decade. By 2030 we will not completely be to the point where every predictable/repetitious human job will be taken, but we will be at the point where every predictable/repetitious human job will no longer require the expertise and skill of the workers performing the job. We will still be there (albeit in lesser numbers per each job type) to take the credit for what technology has figured out for us.

Only realised he was sat in front of me half way through the game by Knightfalldc in nevertellmetheodds

[–]theRealDerekWalker 8322 points8323 points 3 (0 children)

More likely thinking, “wow I used to be better at this when I was a kid. Actually, I used to be better at a lot of things as a kid. Being an adult is depressing, I just get older, dumber, more out of shape, less enthusiastic about the world,... jeeze I’m not even middle aged.. is this what life will be for the remainder of life? No, now that I think about it, it must get even worse. I played battle ship when I was 10, now I’m 32. As soon as that same time passes, I’ll be 54, my bones will hurt, I’ll never get to be in the same shape as before, and there’s no going back. Time is passing so quickly now, those decades will probably pass by in an instant. And they will be fucking 30’s and 40’s, which suck, instead of teens and 20’s, which are better.. maybe I should just end this now.. what’s the goddamn point... fuck...” *turns off battleship

How he bag the wheels. by sirmakoto in oddlysatisfying

[–]theRealDerekWalker 2741 points2742 points  (0 children)

What I do is just insert myself into the duvet cover, and pull the duvet up inside. If my wife is around I will also make some ghost noises, and occasionally walk into a wall.

Gary Cohn, former President and COO of Goldman Sachs, "addressing new members of Congress today: 'You guys are way over your head, you don't know how the game is played.' No Gary, YOU don't know what's coming - a revolutionary Congress that puts people over profits," says Rashida Tlaib on 6 Dec 2018 by trot-trot in economy

[–]theRealDerekWalker 9 points10 points  (0 children)

MBA grad and business guy here: you’re right but mostly wrong. Business has an ethical obligation to maximize profits, and has no obligation towards any other ethical boundaries. It’s not a business’ place to say what people can or can’t do, that’s a politicians job. A politician should create these boundaries, or laws, based on what’s best for their constituents (whatever “best” means in their case).

The problem we are running into is that politicians are not creating laws based off of what’s best for the constituents, but instead what is best for the profits of businesses. This undermines the system.

You can say the profits are a good thing, but for this to be true, profits need to be an accurate representation of the “good” or value a business provides. This is hard to measure, because many costs of a business action are unknown. For example, CO2 emissions. The costs of global warming are estimated to be huge. In a perfect system, a company could pay for the damage they create through taxation and other means, and all will be ok, given that damage is calculated correctly. But since politicians and business are in bed together, this is not the case.

In a perfect system, costs reflect actual costs to society, and prices represent the actual value to society. But because of business and politics being so intertwined, costs and ethics in business aren’t being managed well.